Investigating evaluative thinking skills among educators and young people in preparation for transitions to education, employment, and entrepreneurship.
I am in year 1 of a 4-year PhD program in the Educational Studies at the University of Victoria. My dissertation focuses on building capacity for evaluation and fostering key life skills among young people to think critically with a view to achieving goals. This builds on my 15 years of experience as a Research and Evaluation Specialist in education programming, whereby using data and evidence is essential to reaching results and driven by inquiry into the factors that influence progress. My work has included many roles, including:
- Advancing educator capacity to use and understand research, data and performance measurement at the Government of Ontario Ministry of Education;
- Leading a national and distinctions-based, mixed-methods evaluation of the Indigenous Post-Secondary Education Program for Indigenous Services Canada/Government of Canada; and
c) Working with UNICEF, I collaborated with global stakeholders from private and public sectors to create and implement a global, multi-level measurement framework and reporting tool, managed data inputs from 52 countries and translated findings by designing an interactive, multi-media dashboard.
Evaluation is most often applied in public sector contexts for three very distinct reasons: accountability, building capacity, and learning (United Nations, n.d.). In my experience, I have become very familiar with the numerous challenges that young people face in preparing for and navigating steps in developing career and life trajectories. Understanding skills competencies, labour market demands, and career interests is essential, as are needed funds for advanced training or entrepreneurship endeavours. This results in a youth employment rate of 54% – the lowest since winter 1998, excluding the pandemic years 2020/21 (Statistics Canada, 2025). Furthermore, the transition to employment is made more complex by artificial intelligence (AI); as more than half of the Canadian workforce is highly exposed to jobs that will be disrupted by AI (Li & Dobbs, 2025). In light of employment challenges, many youth turn to self-employment; more 15-24 year olds have started businesses than any other age group over the 2001-2020 time period, but their success rate is the lowest (Liu & Zhang, 2025). It is pivotal that young people learn skills that insulate them from job and career disruptions and facilitate their decision making. Using the self-determination theoretical framework, which assumes people seek psychological growth and therefore learning, mastery, and connection with others (Deci & Ryan, 2020), I will look to understand how students are intrinsically and extrinsically motivated in light of their psychological needs being met, namely autonomy, competence, and relatedness.
The Future Skills Centre Report (Li & Dobbs, 2025) recommends education and workforce development programs foster AI resilient skills, such as critical thinking, leadership, and problem solving. Fostering such skills aligns with the Sustainable Development Goal #4 (UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs), the Canadian federal sustainable development strategy (Government of Canada), and SSHRC’s Future Challenge Areas, Working in the Digital Economy and Truth Under Fire in a Post-fact World. Alongside critical thinking, the evaluation community focuses on evaluative thinking, which is an extension of critical thinking that focuses on expected results, how they are achieved, and the evidence needed to inform decision making and improved results (Campbell-Patton et al., 2023). Although evaluative thinking appears in the evaluation capacity building literature (Archibald T. et al., 2015; 2020; Tolley, 2025), its prevalence in the education literature is not as vast. (Paproth et al., 2023).
The purpose of my research is to identify and measure the factors that influence the teaching and learning of evaluative thinking in Canadian high schools.
Study #1 will explore two research questions: (1) How do educators understand evaluative thinking and integrate it into their instructional design? and (2) How can evaluative thinking be measured to reflect the experiences of Canadian youth? I will create a modified competency framework and measurement tool to measure knowledge of and applicability of evaluative thinking skills among youth. It will then be shared with participants in this study; approximately 100 educators (depending on the power analysis for required sample size) who regularly teach business skills to students that will shortly transition to employment or entrepreneurship. A survey will gather input on the proposed tool and gather data related to their perspectives on evaluative thinking, student abilities, opinions and attitudes on approaches to foster evaluative thinking among high school students.
Study #2 is a mixed-methods study that is guided by the research questions (3) Do high school students think evaluatively in their preparations for their future? Using self-determination theory and recognition of competencies as a supportive condition, this study will examine (4) What supports would help increase student evaluative thinking skills and confidence in their choices as they prepare for future transitions to employment and entrepreneurship? Participants of this experimental study will be recruited by the educators that participated in Study #1 and represent a cross-section of perspectives based on their lived experiences (i.e., rural, Indigenous, people with disabilities, etc.). As part of their business class, students will be divided into 2 groups, all of whom will participate in an online focus group, which will be guided by informed questions from the measurement framework and tool designed in Study #1. Participants will discuss how they prepare for their future planning, sentiments on readiness, reflections on skills, employment, and entrepreneurship opportunities as well as non-academic aspects of transitions, such as self-sufficiency, autonomy, and the tools, resources, and people that they believe will contribute to positive experiences. Group 1 will serve as a control group, while Group 2 will be introduced to the Toulmin Argument Model (Mirzababaei & Pammer – Schindler, 2021) using an AI tool (Online Toulminator) (Caulfield, 2025), which assesses arguments using the Toulmin method. It reviews evidence (quality), assumptions, and rebuttals and provides advice to what may strengthen or weaken arguments, which in this case will be questions around student evaluative thinking processes in planning for their future. The tool is expected to enhance evaluative thinking as it can be seen as a quick and easy way to use evaluative prompts and provide real-time feedback across a variety of formats, including social media. Three months after the focus groups, participants will be invited back to participate in 1 of 3 additional focus group to test evaluative thinking skills and the effects of the Toulminator. The focus groups will consist of students from control Group 1, who did not receive information about the Toulminator, and students from Group 2, who self-report whether they a) used it a lot, and b) used it a little. These discussions will reflect on evaluative thinking processes, decision making, and sentiments about the future, as well as feedback on the Toulminator.
Significance: My research contributes to the literature on evaluation capacity building and career transitions. Findings will be used as evidence on the degree to which evaluative thinking skills (and hence confidence and decision making) are prevalent among educators and students in high schools. Findings will be disseminated yearly in a variety of journals: Canadian Journal of Program Evaluation, American Journal of Evaluation, Canadian Journal of Education, and the Journal of Career Development.
Feasibility: My supervisor, Dr. Valerie Irvine, is an internationally established SSHRC-funded scholar in educational psychology and technology and the Director of the Technology Integration and Evaluation (TIE) Research Lab, funded in part by the Canada Foundation for Innovation and where I am a graduate research associate. The PhD program at UVic provides training central to my research (e.g., education, technology, multi-method research designs, and quantitative analysis) and builds on my extensive experience in evaluation, qualitative research analysis, and measurement. I intend to complete my degree in Spring 2029 and my long-term goal is to enter academia to advance my research program to understand and advance Canada’s capacity for evaluative thinking to support transitions to education, employment, and entrepreneurship.